Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.912141 4.666482 5.506952 6.509863 7.670926 8.969602 10.528844
2025-08-24 2.825961 3.791167 4.978233 6.533345 8.503224 10.900512 14.022005
2025-08-31 2.166447 3.207631 4.597233 6.560630 9.231444 12.701605 17.508085
2025-09-07 1.695719 2.739133 4.234659 6.489056 9.745214 14.211297 20.716832
2025-09-14 1.301493 2.281633 3.782717 6.183450 9.843177 15.109751 23.127515
2025-09-21 1.070050 2.018685 3.559462 6.154489 10.298667 16.511221 26.327282
2025-09-28 0.890465 1.800466 3.362028 6.120696 10.716979 17.866036 29.543251
2025-10-05 0.815140 1.748292 3.425564 6.508944 11.828950 20.356582 34.665428
2025-10-12 0.723477 1.646106 3.382596 6.702149 12.627782 22.406183 39.242320
2025-10-19 0.657026 1.579517 3.391229 6.980773 13.589049 24.782726 44.505042
2025-10-26 0.569611 1.451376 3.262076 6.985351 14.060718 26.369666 48.570110
2025-11-02 0.471936 1.279789 3.019136 6.738009 14.042281 27.104579 51.236176
2025-11-09 0.389771 1.127583 2.795377 6.505688 14.039778 27.889595 54.093731
2025-11-16 0.338219 1.038064 2.691381 6.502841 14.474742 29.490169 58.500323
2025-11-23 0.295735 0.961796 2.604151 6.522246 14.951709 31.198983 63.213941
2025-11-30 0.253982 0.877105 2.482662 6.448777 15.228021 32.544816 67.344579
2025-12-07 0.206881 0.764296 2.272579 6.144213 14.985083 32.865831 69.569048
2025-12-14 0.179942 0.704862 2.186257 6.115227 15.325829 34.350034 74.097648
2025-12-21 0.156594 0.650354 2.103074 6.081570 15.649952 35.819365 78.684459
2025-12-28 0.151424 0.655859 2.184676 6.467614 16.955022 39.378390 87.603047
2026-01-04 0.139770 0.635537 2.190191 6.659730 17.829679 42.099476 94.998068
2026-01-11 0.131730 0.626392 2.226674 6.936797 18.926837 45.357674 103.660884
2026-01-18 0.116752 0.586381 2.164168 6.941349 19.373177 47.253739 109.635942